ther Publications

The Fall and Rise of the U.S. Corporate Tax Burden" with Gillian Spooner and Emil Sunley, National Tax Journal September 1988. pp. 273-284.

"The CBO Corporate Tax Revenue Estimating Procedure" CBO Draft Working Paper, December 1986.

"Analysis of Long-Term Revenue Impacts of Corporate and General Business Provisions in the House and Senate Finance Committee Tax Reform Bills" CBO Staff Working Paper, June 1986.

"Background Analysis of Corporate Minimum Tax Issues" CBO Staff Working Paper, July 1985.

"Analysis of Long-Term Revenue Impacts of the President's Tax Reform Plan" with Robert Lucke, CBO Staff Working Paper. June 1985. (reprinted in Tax Notes, July 1, 1985, pp. 83-92)

"Revenue Estimation and Comprehensive Tax Reform" with Robert Lucke and Rosemary Marcuss, National Tax Journal. September 1985. pp. 373-394.

"The Effect of Recent Corporate Tax Changes on Aggregate Investment and Real Growth" Paper presented at the Allied Social Science Associations Annual Meeting, San Francisco, Dec. 28, 1983.

"Impact of the 1981 Personal Income Tax Reductions on Income Distribution; A Study Prepared for the Use of the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States" December 23, 1981.

Chase Econometrics Publications:

U.S. Economic Outlook [the monthly macro forecast document]

"Federal Tax Policy and the User Cost of Capital" April 23, 1981. pp. A-1 to A-20.

"The Federal Budget for FY 1982" January 26, 1981. pp. A-22 to A-42.

"The Potential Impact of Ronald Reagan's Economic Program" September 23, 1980. pp. A-25 to A-43.

"State and Local Fiscal Behavior in the Context of the General Economy" with Harold A. Hovey, July 23, 1980. pp. A-13 to A-25.

"Stimulating Investment Through Tax Cuts: A Comparison of Three Alternative Proposals" with Leon W. Taub, April 25, 1980. pp. A-16 to A-23.

Inflation and the U.S. Economy, A Chase Econometric Ten Year Forecast. Volume I, October, 1980:

"The Impact of Inflation on the Federal Budget" Section IX.

Congressional Research Service Reports:

"Economic Forecasts: Background information on econometric models of the U.S. economy" published in: Studies in Taxation, Public Finance, and Related Subjects - A Compendium. Vol. I. Fund for Public Policy Research. Washington, D.C. 1977. pp. 543-550.


"Analysis of the economic impact of HR8333 [Kemp-Roth 33% individual tax rate reduction proposal] using the Wharton annual model"
June 27, 1978.


"Analysis of the economic impact of HR8333 [using the Data Resources Inc. model]"
March 22, 1978.

"Issues in black employment and unemployment" Feb. 9, 1978.

"Analysis (using the DRI model) of the possible impact on the U.S. economy of a 10% OPEC price increase" June 1, 1978.


"The economic impact of a Federal program to achieve 3 percent unemployment by the second quarter of 1977 using public service jobs paying the minimum wage" July 12, 1976.

"A consumer price index for the elderly" Nov. 7, 1975.

"The GNP deflator and related measures of price change" Nov. 29, 1975.

"Economic Indicators" [issue brief, designed for access through computer timesharing. Defined major series on production and prices, and discussed latest values.] Originated April 23, 1975 and updated one to three times per month until March 1979.

"Suggestions concerning the calculation of an imputed value for homemakers' production" April 28, 1975.

"The gasoline shortage - Rationing versus a higher tax" November 27, 1973. Printed in The Congressional Record, Jan. 21, 1974.

Valerie Amerkhail

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